TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Lorient wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Lorient wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:20h:00m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Le Havre and Lorient. Each market corresponds to a specific goal-differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based solely on the goal differential from the Le Havre vs Lorient professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes. A 'Yes' resolution occurs only if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified goal-differential threshold defined in the individual market rules. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting the result of the Le Havre vs Lorient match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which causes the prices to fluctuate. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome in the Le Havre vs Lorient match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Havre vs Lorient match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Le Havre or Lorient teams would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts for the match day could all influence traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also cause shifts in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.