TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:15h:22m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Havre and Lorient. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Le Havre wins, Lorient wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Le Havre vs Lorient professional Ligue 1 soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Le Havre wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Le Havre' market resolves to Yes. If Lorient wins under the same conditions, the 'Lorient' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or team news more quickly, while this market tends to converge towards what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may align with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing methodologies and participant bases. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Le Havre vs Lorient match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. The current price indicates how much it costs to hold a contract that pays out if a specific result happens.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result—whether Le Havre wins, Lorient wins, or the match ends in a draw—will be determined by the official result reported by the league organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the match to stay informed about any factors that could influence the result and the market’s movement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Le Havre or Lorient would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, might influence traders’ assessments. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, could also contribute to movement in the market before Nov 8, 2026.