This event group covers a Ligue 1 match between Le Havre AC and Olympique Lyonnais scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (1.5 and 2.5 goal margins for both teams), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score, all resolving on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: official Ligue1.com score within 90+stoppage minutes, 50-50 on cancellation, postponement keeps markets open, and secondary credible reporting if official source delayed.
Primary resolution logic:
Ligue1.com official final score; secondary: consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Spread (-1.5): Resolves YES if favored team wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread (-2.5): Resolves YES if favored team wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
Over/Under 1.5: Resolves OVER if combined goals >= 2; UNDER if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Resolves OVER if combined goals >= 3; UNDER if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Resolves OVER if combined goals >= 4; UNDER if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Resolves OVER if combined goals >= 5; UNDER if < 5
Both Teams to Score: Resolves YES if each team scores >= 1 goal; NO if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
Match Started but Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score at the point of abandonment, as published by Ligue1.com.
Official Source Delay: If Ligue1.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting (e.g., ESPN, official league communications, major sports news outlets).
Scope: Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution considers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Ligue1.com final score is published, or within 2 hours post-match if secondary credible reporting is required. Postponed matches remain unresolved until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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