TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Lazio and Parma Calcio. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the sport and the strategies teams employ to either score or defend effectively.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Lazio vs Parma Calcio Serie A match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that the resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by the league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be fully priced into traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more nuanced view, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The goal is to predict the final total goals scored in the Lazio vs Parma match, and the contracts will pay out based on the actual result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Lazio vs Parma match, as officially recorded by the governing football league, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the aggregate number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time, and any extra time as per the official match rules. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Parma would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in recent matches, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, could influence the number of goals scored. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football experts predicting a high or low-scoring game could also move the market.