TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Lazio and Parma Calcio, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled according to specific goal-difference thresholds for each team.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Lazio vs Parma Calcio Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, based on the goal differential at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Four distinct primary rules define different winning margins: Lazio winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lazio winning by more than 1.5 goals, Parma Calcio winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Parma Calcio winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The event collectively assesses various degrees of victory for either team, allowing participants to bet on different margins of win.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially diverging from sportsbook offerings as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread in the Lazio vs Parma match as officially recorded by the relevant sports authorities. The market will determine which outcome—Parma Calcio wins by more than 2.5 goals, or another result—is the correct one based on the official results. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Parma could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all play a role. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements.