TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Serie A encounter between Lazio and Parma Calcio, this event will confirm if each team finds the back of the net at least once throughout the match's regular duration. Success depends entirely on whether both clubs can produce scoring moments before any potential extra periods.
If Lazio and Parma Calcio both score a goal in the Lazio vs Parma Calcio Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more favorable value than available at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare and consider both sources when making informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes – will both Lazio and Parma score? The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Lazio and Parma score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The outcome will be determined by the final scoreline of the Lazio vs Parma match, and the result will be reported on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Parma would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high-scoring game could drive up the price of the 'Yes' outcome. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before kickoff could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.