TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Lazio will win its upcoming Serie A soccer match against Parma Calcio. Currently, Kalshi gives Lazio a 97.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Lazio wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the Lazio vs Parma Calcio match on October 24, 2026, as that will determine the resolution of this market.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Lazio vs Parma Calcio professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Lazio win, Parma win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and the influence of biases among bettors and market participants. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or events related to the Lazio vs Parma match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lazio vs Parma match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Lazio win, a Parma win, or a tie – is the definitive result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Parma would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other Serie A matches, or broader football news, might indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market before Oct 24, 2026.