TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
For the Lazio versus Monza Serie A fixture, this event will confirm if both participants find the back of the net during the standard match duration. Goals scored in regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties, determine the result.
If Lazio and Monza both score a goal in the Lazio vs Monza Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may prioritize attracting action on certain outcomes, whereas this market aims to represent the true probability as perceived by participants. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the Lazio vs Monza match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Lazio and Monza will score. The price of a 'Yes' contract indicates the probability of both teams scoring, while the price of a 'No' contract reflects the probability of at least one team failing to score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Lazio and Monza score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against reliable sources. Traders holding a 'Yes' contract will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding a 'No' contract will receive a payout if at least one team fails to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Monza would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match commentary from managers could also move the market. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of goals being scored by either team has the potential to cause price fluctuations in this market.