TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Lazio and Cagliari will determine if Lazio wins by a margin greater than specified thresholds. This includes all goals scored during the 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, but excludes extra time and penalty shootout goals.
For each market, the outcome is determined by whether Lazio wins the Lazio vs Cagliari professional Serie A soccer game, originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, by more than a specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded. If Cagliari wins, the market resolves to No regardless of the margin. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential result of the Lazio vs Cagliari match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Lazio vs Cagliari match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market is highly liquid, allowing for easy entry and exit, and the price movements provide a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Lazio vs Cagliari match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official results following the match to understand the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 1, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Lazio or Cagliari would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team management or key personnel could also move the market. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to drive trading activity and price changes in this market.