TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alexander Zverev will achieve a game spread of -3.5 against Alex de Minaur in their Laver Cup match. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to Alexander Zverev (-3.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+3.5). Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep a close watch on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final game spread achieved during the competition.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and it’s constantly adjusting based on the collective actions of all participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zverev vs de Minaur match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their shareholdings. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and does not involve any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also drive price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the Laver Cup could impact overall confidence in player abilities. Public commentary from tennis analysts and experts might also sway opinions, prompting traders to reassess their positions. The closer we get to Oct 3, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely become to new information.