TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Latvia vs. Armenia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Latvia vs. Armenia?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$545
1%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Latvia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:11h:19m

Latvia wins

74%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 74¢ buys you 135 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $135 | Net Profit: $35 Multiplier: 1.35x | ROI: 35% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Latvia

Trade
N/A
N/A
69¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
polymarket

Latvia

Trade
30%
Yes 54¢No 95¢
49¢
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 69¢
kalshi

Armenia

Trade
N/A
N/A
72¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
polymarket

Armenia

Trade
40%
Yes 65¢No 86¢
51¢
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 61.5¢Max: 72¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
74¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Latvia vs. Armenia)

Trade
33%
Yes 58¢No 93¢
51¢
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 8h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 62.5¢Max: 74¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Latvia and Armenia, scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets ask who will win, or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result provisions for game abandonment and data availability, while Kalshi lacks such provisions.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's abandonment rules could lead to a 'No' resolution in scenarios where Kalshi might still resolve based on an official result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Includes detailed rules for abandoned games and data availability.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to "Yes" if Latvia or Armenia wins, or if the game ends in a tie. No explicit rules for cancellation, abandonment, or data availability issues.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Latvia and Armenia, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Latvia vs. Armenia professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 15, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: Latvia win, Armenia win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting options.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Latvia vs. Armenia match may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. These factors can influence how quickly information is incorporated into the prices. Furthermore, the specific question phrasing on each platform, even if conceptually similar, can lead to different interpretations and trading behavior. The volume on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally indicates greater price discovery and potentially more accurate odds. This market reflects the unique dynamics of each platform.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Latvia vs. Armenia match, as determined by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final outcome and the timing of resolution.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either the Latvian or Armenian team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching staff or team strategy could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news regarding the teams' preparation, travel arrangements, or internal dynamics could impact the market. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts for the match location, could play a role in how traders assess the likely outcome.