TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Latina and Atalanta U23. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Latina will win, Atalanta U23 will win, or if the match will end in a tie.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Latina vs Atalanta U23 professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Latina market occurs if Latina wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Atalanta U23 market occurs if Atalanta U23 secures a victory within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust odds based on betting volume to balance their risk, while this market relies solely on traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the event's probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the U23 Italian football match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.