TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 2.5 goals will be scored in the LASK versus Liverpool Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match data. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if over 4.5 goals are scored by the end of the originally scheduled game on October 14, 2026.
Resolution depends on the total goals scored by both teams in the LASK vs Liverpool Champions League match scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. Markets have thresholds of over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, creating a dynamic and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the LASK vs Liverpool match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either LASK or Liverpool would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources may also shift expectations and lead to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to the latest information.