TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between LASK Linz and SK Rapid, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "LASK Linz" if LASK Linz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid" if SK Rapid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between LASK Linz and SK Rapid, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "LASK Linz" if LASK Linz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid" if SK Rapid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If analysts or polls favor one team, we might see a corresponding shift in the odds here. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets can sometimes anticipate outcomes *before* they are reflected in sportsbook lines, as traders react quickly to new information and insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe LASK Linz will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for SK Rapid. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the LASK Linz vs. SK Rapid match. Official match reports and widely recognized sports news sources will be used to determine the first goalscorer, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the odds of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either LASK Linz or SK Rapid would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from respected football analysts, could also sway trader sentiment and move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.