TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Omar Cooper Jr. or Garrett Wilson will each score at least one touchdown in the Las Vegas vs New York J professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to both Omar Cooper Jr. scoring 1+ touchdowns and Garrett Wilson scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Garrett Wilson scores at least one touchdown, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the outcome will depend on player performance during that fixture and the market will resolve by November 2, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the specified Pro Football game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score a touchdown, even if the play is nullified by a penalty. Touchdowns scored by offensive teams during fake punts or field goals do not count for defensive units. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's touchdown-scoring performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions through actual trading. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. However, as the event approaches, the two may converge, especially if there’s strong consensus. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored in the Las Vegas versus New York game, as reported by official league sources. The market will then determine the winning contracts based on the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key player injuries on either the Las Vegas or New York team would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Game-day performance and in-game events will also drive price movements as the contest unfolds.