TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in a specific football game by counting how often they sack the opposing quarterback. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of sacks for either team, allowing participants to bet on various levels of defensive dominance.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by either Las Vegas or New York J during the Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, with specific thresholds defined for each market (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 6+ sacks). Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all affected markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of certain outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time probability assessment of the event’s potential results, based solely on trader activity.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of sacks recorded by each team during the designated game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the final results. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Las Vegas or New York J team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for strong pass rushes, might also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams' defensive capabilities could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.