How many rushing yards will Jeanty have?

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage tiers for players in the Las Vegas versus New York game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective prediction. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among participants regarding each outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Las Vegas versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded rushing yards for each player, as reported by the NFL’s official data sources. The specific yardage tiers defined within this market will determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will be determined by the contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final statistics.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a primary driver, as the absence of a key running back would dramatically shift expectations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions – such as heavy rain or snow – could also influence the game plan and favor a more passing-oriented approach, reducing rushing yardage totals. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and price adjustments.