TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often a specific player, Ashton Jeanty, carries the ball during a football game between Las Vegas and New York. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. The rules clarify how the market settles if Jeanty doesn't play or if his snaps are nullified by penalties.
The markets resolve based on whether Ashton Jeanty records a specified number of rushing attempts (11+, 14+, or 17+) in the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Jeanty is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Jeanty takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that snap is later nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity in scenarios where player participation is uncertain or subject to in-game penalties, providing a consistent framework for resolution across all thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome of the game and the total rushing attempts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market depth shows the available volume at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the Las Vegas and New York teams will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will reflect the official statistics recorded by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow are predicted, could also impact the expected rushing attempts. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive game plans could shift trader sentiment and affect the prices in this market. Unexpected announcements about player availability will also be key.