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408,349

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Las Vegas vs New York J: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New York?

Volume:
$1,926

Adonai Mitchell

 - Kalshi

Adonai Mitchell - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:44 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adonai Mitchell

View
13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$999
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Brock Bowers

13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Garrett Wilson

8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tre Tucker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$569
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in an upcoming professional football game. Participants can bet on whether each player's reception count will hit specific thresholds, with payouts scaling based on performance. The structure rewards higher reception totals with progressively larger returns.

Kalshi

Contracts pay out based on the official number of receptions each named player records during the specified Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule where payouts increase with higher reception counts up to a maximum of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s equals the official receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the corresponding Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. All markets resolve to Yes once the game concludes and reception statistics are officially verified.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a wider range of participants. Over time, the odds in this market often become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, discrepancies can still occur due to differing market dynamics and risk appetites between prediction markets and sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the event.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics. This market will determine which outcome – relating to the number of receptions – is the most accurate prediction based on the official results. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a primary catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would drastically alter expectations. News regarding changes in team offensive strategy, quarterback performance, or even weather conditions could also shift the odds. Unexpected player trades or significant changes in coaching personnel could also influence trading activity. Any information that affects a player’s projected role in the offense has the potential to move this market considerably before Nov 2, 2026.