TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in an upcoming professional football game. Participants can bet on whether each player's reception count will hit specific thresholds, with payouts scaling based on performance. The structure rewards higher reception totals with progressively larger returns.
Contracts pay out based on the official number of receptions each named player records during the specified Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule where payouts increase with higher reception counts up to a maximum of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s equals the official receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the corresponding Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. All markets resolve to Yes once the game concludes and reception statistics are officially verified.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics. This market will determine which outcome – relating to the number of receptions – is the most accurate prediction based on the official results. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a primary catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would drastically alter expectations. News regarding changes in team offensive strategy, quarterback performance, or even weather conditions could also shift the odds. Unexpected player trades or significant changes in coaching personnel could also influence trading activity. Any information that affects a player’s projected role in the offense has the potential to move this market considerably before Nov 2, 2026.