TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering markets on whether individual players will reach certain reception thresholds.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria, and all reception counts include overtime statistics.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities for various outcomes within the NFL receptions market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL game statistics. This ensures an objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released. The market's resolution will be based on the official, verified data available following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected performance from players in previous games, or adjustments to defensive schemes by opposing teams, could also influence trading activity. Major announcements about player availability, such as a star receiver being ruled out with an injury, would likely cause substantial price movements in the NFL receptions market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.