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Las Vegas vs New York J: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New York?

Volume:
$7,847

Adonai Mitchell

 - Kalshi

Adonai Mitchell - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:44 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adonai Mitchell

View
34%
31%
Yes 34.3¢No 65.7¢
—
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$744
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Brock Bowers

View
9%
1%
Yes 9.1¢No 90.9¢
—
N/A
$1,433
N/A
N/A
$1,048
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Garrett Wilson

View
6%
Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.3¢
—
N/A
$2,670
N/A
N/A
$2,670
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tre Tucker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,162
N/A
N/A
$2,162
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets track receiving yardage performance by individual players in an upcoming football game between Las Vegas and New York. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with each 10-yard increment of receiving yards achieved by the specified player, following a cubic scaling formula. 'No' contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the 'Yes' payout.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve based on official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each 'Yes' contract pays according to a cubic scaling formula where payout increases with each 10-yard increment from 0 to 200 yards, capped at $1.00. The formula calculates payout as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents official receiving yards. Each 'No' contract pays $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, with negative yardage resulting in $0.00 payout for 'Yes' contracts. All markets resolve to 'Yes' following payout determination, and Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate unexpected developments, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities than traditional betting lines. This can be a valuable tool for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official receiving yardage statistics from the NFL will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the officially recorded receiving yards for the players involved in the Las Vegas versus New York game. Any disputes regarding the official statistics will be resolved using standard industry practices and publicly available data. The final settlement will be clearly communicated on Kalshi.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both teams are major catalysts. Any news suggesting a player is unlikely to play, or will be limited in their playing time, would likely shift the odds. Changes in quarterback performance or play-calling strategies could also influence expectations for receiving yardage. Weather conditions on game day, particularly wind or rain, can affect passing games and therefore impact this market. Finally, any significant news regarding defensive matchups or coaching adjustments could also lead to price movements.