TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether they achieve various receiving yard thresholds. It allows participants to speculate on player performance in a real-world context, with outcomes determined by actual game statistics.
Each market evaluates whether a specified player achieves a particular receiving yard threshold in the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the player records the stated number of receiving yards or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules ensure fair resolution based on in-game performance and address scenarios where a player may be listed as active but does not participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the final receiving yards for the players involved. The resolution will reflect the total receiving yards achieved during the specified game, as recorded by the official league statistics. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in quarterback performance, or adjustments to defensive strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions during the game, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence passing yardage totals. Major announcements about player availability, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports on player matchups could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on receiving yardage is key to understanding how this market might evolve.