TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming Pro Football game between Las Vegas and New York, focusing on whether they achieve various receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical production during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required receiving yards, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game receiving yards including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news, as the market adjusts to new information. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the relevant NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official NFL data, ensuring accuracy and transparency. The market will determine which outcome – whether a player exceeds a specific yardage threshold – is ultimately confirmed by the official results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would drastically alter expectations. Changes in quarterback performance or team offensive strategy could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions during the game, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing yardage. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could influence traders’ assessments and lead to price movements in this market.