TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance beyond set thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single rush during the match. The outcome depends on whether they exceed their respective yardage requirements.
The event determines if designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply separately to each player’s market, with independent resolution criteria for Geno Smith (over 6.5 yards), Ashton Jeanty (over 12.5 yards), and Mike Washington Jr. (over 10.5 yards). Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player having the longest rush. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the potential outcome. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for this particular game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing play during the Las Vegas versus New York game will be declared the winner. The official game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and the resolution will be based on these publicly available records. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader behavior. Finally, even late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to adjustments in this market’s pricing.