TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

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4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

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Las Vegas vs New York J: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

Who has the longest reception?

Volume:
$2,526

Braelon Allen: over 9.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Braelon Allen: over 9.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Braelon Allen: over 9.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$655
N/A
N/A
$655
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adonai Mitchell: over 15.5 yards

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty: over 12.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brock Bowers: over 22.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Mayer: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenyon Sadiq: over 12.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Garrett Wilson: over 21.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tre Tucker: over 21.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Mason Taylor: over 11.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Omar Cooper Jr.: over 19.5 yards

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Nailor: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a longest reception exceeding defined yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the distance of their farthest completed pass during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple players from both teams to determine if any achieve a longest reception exceeding their specified yardage thresholds. For each player, if they record a reception longer than the threshold during the game, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined based on the longest reception they actually record. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one player’s market does not affect the others. The governing league’s official statistics will be used to determine reception lengths, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current odds for various players to have the longest reception in the game. You'll find a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, giving insight into where the smart money is flowing. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,333, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,526. This allows you to gauge market interest and activity for this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market perceives an edge, or where public opinion deviates from expert analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players having the longest reception, and the price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that player achieving the longest reception. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe a player is likely to have a long reception, the price of their contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the final source of truth for determining the longest reception, and the market will settle based on that verified data. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for the final results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to wide receivers known for deep threats, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also influence the likelihood of long passes. Furthermore, coaching strategies and game plans revealed closer to game time could provide valuable insights. Finally, any significant news or analysis from sports analysts regarding player matchups or offensive tendencies could also move this market.