TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming professional football game. The outcome depends on whether the designated player achieves various yardage thresholds during the full match, including overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price unless the exact passing yard threshold is met. Actual statistics determine the outcome if the player participates in any play after the first half, regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the Las Vegas versus New York game and the expected passing yardage.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for the Las Vegas versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards achieved by all quarterbacks in the game will be used to determine which outcome wins. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified. The market will then be considered settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks on either the Las Vegas or New York teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing yardage expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or team dynamics could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.