TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Las Vegas vs New York J: Passing Yards
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New York J?

Volume:
$475,555

Kirk Cousins: 200+

 - Kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 200+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 200+

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,703
N/A
N/A
$65,010
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 150+

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,133
N/A
N/A
$51,904
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 175+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,872
N/A
N/A
$46,761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 225+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,852
N/A
N/A
$39,209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 150+

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,098
N/A
N/A
$38,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 250+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,097
N/A
N/A
$33,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 175+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,938
N/A
N/A
$36,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 200+

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,123
N/A
N/A
$29,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 225+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,688
N/A
N/A
$27,995
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 275+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,803
N/A
N/A
$19,515
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 250+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,553
N/A
N/A
$14,711
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 300+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,780
N/A
N/A
$6,116
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 275+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,342
N/A
N/A
$6,283
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 300+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,508
N/A
N/A
$6,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 350+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,004
N/A
N/A
$3,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 325+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,992
N/A
N/A
$1,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 375+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
$1,733
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 325+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
$1,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 350+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,105
N/A
N/A
$1,105
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

This set of markets tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in a single football game. Each market resolves based on whether the designated player achieves a particular passing yard threshold during the match. The outcomes reflect performance benchmarks for individual players.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified quarterback in the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the player records the exact or greater number of passing yards stated in the market title during the game. If the named player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with each market evaluating a different passing yard threshold for either Geno Smith or Kirk Cousins.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different passing yard totals. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, as they aggregate information from a diverse group of participants. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing market dynamics.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. The goal is to find a price that accurately reflects the collective belief of all traders.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard totals from the Las Vegas versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage for the game, as recorded by official league statistics, will determine which outcome settles positively. Traders who correctly predicted the passing yard range will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The specific yardage totals will be sourced from official NFL data and verified to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Las Vegas or New York teams would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to offensive play-calling could move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts regarding the matchup could influence traders’ expectations and drive price fluctuations.