TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in a single football game. Each market resolves based on whether the designated player achieves a particular passing yard threshold during the match. The outcomes reflect performance benchmarks for individual players.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified quarterback in the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the player records the exact or greater number of passing yards stated in the market title during the game. If the named player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with each market evaluating a different passing yard threshold for either Geno Smith or Kirk Cousins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. The goal is to find a price that accurately reflects the collective belief of all traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard totals from the Las Vegas versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage for the game, as recorded by official league statistics, will determine which outcome settles positively. Traders who correctly predicted the passing yard range will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The specific yardage totals will be sourced from official NFL data and verified to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Las Vegas or New York teams would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to offensive play-calling could move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts regarding the matchup could influence traders’ expectations and drive price fluctuations.