TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Las Vegas vs New York J: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New York J?

Volume:
$38,059

Kirk Cousins: 16+

 - Kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 16+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:21 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 16+

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,958
N/A
N/A
$30,950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 15+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
$1,678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 20+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,573
N/A
N/A
$1,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 21+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
$1,938
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 25+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,743
N/A
N/A
$1,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 26+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on the number of successful passes thrown. Bettors can speculate on whether players will meet certain completion thresholds, adding an analytical layer to game-day strategy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total number of passing completions recorded by the named quarterback during the Las Vegas vs New York J Professional Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the specified quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual completions recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 15+, 20+, etc.) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against predetermined benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing completions market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing completions in the specified game. You’ll find a price history chart to visualize how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $35,460. The total volume traded on this market is $36,589. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the expected performance of the teams involved.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a wider range of participants. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – you may see the prediction market odds converge or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering unique value to informed traders. It's a good practice to compare both to assess where the discrepancies lie.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a lower probability, while a lower price suggests a higher probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries, changes in weather conditions (particularly wind or rain), or adjustments to offensive strategies could cause the market to shift. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports on player matchups could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant public sentiment shifts, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, may also contribute to movements in the price of contracts within this market.