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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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40,511

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Kalshi:

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Las Vegas vs New York J: First Team to Score a TD
kalshi

What team will score first?

Volume:
$7,402

Las Vegas

 - Kalshi

Las Vegas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Las Vegas

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,501
N/A
N/A
$3,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York J

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,337
N/A
N/A
$1,806
Settled
No
kalshi

No team

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,564
N/A
N/A
$1,564
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Las Vegas and New York J. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Las Vegas, New York J, or neither team scores the first touchdown in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward resolution, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The outcome is strictly based on the first touchdown scored, with a specific market resolving to Yes if no team scores a touchdown at all during the full game, including overtime.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first TD scorer market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities for each team to score the first touchdown are shifting in real-time. Currently, the volume for this market is $2,482, and the total volume traded to date is $2,867. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market activity, allowing you to quickly assess where traders are placing their bets on who will reach the endzone first in this exciting matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced a particular outcome, offering a potentially more accurate assessment than traditional betting venues.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the game, as determined by official game statistics. The official scoring play will be the determining factor, and the result will be documented by sports news outlets and official league records. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to the starting quarterbacks or primary running backs, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and impact which team is favored to score first. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts.