TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Las Vegas and New York J. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Las Vegas, New York J, or neither team scores the first touchdown in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward resolution, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The outcome is strictly based on the first touchdown scored, with a specific market resolving to Yes if no team scores a touchdown at all during the full game, including overtime.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced a particular outcome, offering a potentially more accurate assessment than traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the game, as determined by official game statistics. The official scoring play will be the determining factor, and the result will be documented by sports news outlets and official league records. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to the starting quarterbacks or primary running backs, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and impact which team is favored to score first. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts.