TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Pro Football game between Las Vegas and New York J, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score points in every quarter of regulation time. The outcome depends solely on regular-time performance, with overtime points excluded from consideration.
If Las Vegas and New York J both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert analysis. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets can offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can highlight situations where the crowd believes there’s value that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Las Vegas and New York J teams score in each quarter of the game. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against reliable sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Las Vegas or New York J teams would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any unexpected developments during the game itself, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Public perception and betting trends will also play a role.