TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between Las Vegas and New York J. Bettors can assess how high-scoring the opening quarter might be by choosing different point totals that need to be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of offensive output in the opening quarter. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply a wider range of participants. If you find a significant difference between the price here and sportsbook odds, it may indicate a potential edge, or that the market is incorporating information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It's always wise to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first quarter total score. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and the actions of other traders, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price reflects the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter total score from the Las Vegas vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score reported by the league and verified by sources considered authoritative for sports results. The contract will then pay out based on whether the actual first quarter total falls above or below the threshold defined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Las Vegas or New York team would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is played outdoors, could also impact the expected scoring. Even public sentiment, driven by pre-game analysis or social media buzz, can influence trading activity and shift the price. Any development that alters perceptions of the teams’ offensive capabilities could lead to changes in this market.