TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown for Las Vegas in an upcoming professional football game against New York. It covers all potential scorers, including individual players and the defensive unit, providing a comprehensive view of possible outcomes for the game's opening score.
Each market corresponds to a specific player or the Las Vegas defensive unit (LV Raiders D/ST) scoring the first touchdown for Las Vegas in the game. If the designated player or unit scores the first touchdown, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes a snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Las Vegas touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. This structure ensures that only one market resolves to Yes, corresponding to the actual first scorer, or the No Touchdown market if Las Vegas fails to score any touchdowns.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the game between Las Vegas and New York. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be resolved by referencing official sources and applying standard rules for determining the first touchdown scorer. The outcome will be determined by the official game results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst; if a key receiver or running back is ruled out, their contract prices will likely decrease, while others may rise. News regarding team strategies, such as a shift in offensive focus, could also influence the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, like heavy rain or strong winds, might favor a running game and impact which players are favored to score. Finally, any significant changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also cause shifts in the market for the first Las Vegas touchdown.