TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Las Vegas and New England in their scheduled Pro Football game on October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific range of points by which either team could win, determining the resolution outcome based on the final score.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Las Vegas and New England in their full Pro Football game, including any overtime periods, scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within the specified range for that market: exactly 0 points, between 1-6 points, between 7-14 points, or 15 or more points. If Las Vegas or New England wins by a margin that matches any of these defined ranges, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets operate independently, and the resolution depends solely on the final point differential, regardless of which team achieves it. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and ask to sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific winning margin, with higher prices suggesting lower probability and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Las Vegas versus New England game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual winning margin falls within the range specified by each contract. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather forecasts for the game day, or significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the market to move. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities.