TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether TreVeyon Henderson will score 3 or more touchdowns in the Las Vegas vs New England Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 7.0% probability to Henderson achieving this, while Romeo Doubs scoring 3+ touchdowns is priced at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Efton Chism III scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the performance of key offensive players leading up to the game scheduled for October 11, 2026, as their involvement will be critical to determining the outcome.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or teams score the specified number of touchdowns in the Las Vegas vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual touchdowns scored. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's contribution to the game's scoring outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate information and react to news or signals that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is less likely, the price will decrease. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of touchdowns scored in the Las Vegas versus New England game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. This will be determined by official game statistics, as reported by a trusted source for NFL game data. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Las Vegas or New England teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, even public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity and, therefore, the prices in this market.