TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can stop the opponent by tackling the ball carrier behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether specific sack thresholds are met by either team during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Las Vegas vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Sacks must occur during standard play; those made during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2 to 6 sacks) for each team, and resolves to 'Yes' if the team's total sacks meet or exceed that threshold. The markets are independent, allowing for multiple thresholds to be met simultaneously.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders predicting the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants influencing the price. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Las Vegas and New England matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely scenario for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Las Vegas versus New England game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players on either the Las Vegas or New England teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or wind, could also impact the expected number of sacks. Finally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts within this market.