TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he achieves various rushing yard thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's actual play during the match, with specific conditions for settling if he doesn't participate.
All markets resolve based on whether Ashton Jeanty records the specified rushing yard threshold in the Las Vegas vs New England professional football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Jeanty is active but never takes a snap, markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once Jeanty takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the markets settle strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds from 30+ to 130+ rushing yards.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, aggregates the opinions of many individuals, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Las Vegas and New England matchup. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for both the Las Vegas and New England teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The final, official rushing yardage statistics will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle to the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game, as recorded by official sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Las Vegas or New England teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also influence trading activity, as weather often affects rushing game strategies. Late-breaking news about coaching decisions or defensive adjustments could also shift expectations and drive trading volume in this market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis could also contribute to price fluctuations.