TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Las Vegas vs New England: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New England?

Volume:
$1,906

Ashton Jeanty: over 11.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Ashton Jeanty: over 11.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty: over 11.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brock Bowers: over 19.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cody White: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hunter Henry: over 17.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eli Raridon: over 8.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DeMario Douglas: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Efton Chism III: over 11.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Romeo Doubs: over 23.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Tre Tucker: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Mayer: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the distance of their farthest completed catch during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if each specified athlete records a longest reception exceeding their respective yardage thresholds in the designated game. For each market, if the named player achieves a reception longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on whether their longest reception meets or exceeds the threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, with each outcome determined independently based on the player's in-game performance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the game, along with a price history chart showing how those prices have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,905, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,906. This allows traders to see which players are currently favored and how market sentiment is shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception. This often leads to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prices seen in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of a contract reflects the probability of that player having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, the price goes up, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each player. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest reception, and the market will settle based on that data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Injury reports are a major driver, as the absence of a key receiver significantly impacts their chances of having the longest reception. News regarding player matchups, weather conditions, and offensive game plans can also shift market sentiment. Unexpected changes in team strategy or a player’s role in the offense could also lead to price movements. Finally, any significant news related to player performance or health will likely cause adjustments in this market until resolution.