TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Las Vegas vs New England: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs New England?

Volume:
$135,477

Drake Maye: 2+

 - Kalshi

Drake Maye: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:33 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Drake Maye: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,235
N/A
N/A
$26,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 4+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,470
N/A
N/A
$23,362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,469
N/A
N/A
$14,630
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 1+

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,361
N/A
N/A
$14,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 1+

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,181
N/A
N/A
$12,036
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 2+

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,918
N/A
N/A
$23,598
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,812
N/A
N/A
$5,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,029
N/A
N/A
$4,599
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of success for the quarterback, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of offensive output.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback—Drake Maye or Kirk Cousins—during the Las Vegas vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named quarterback meets or exceeds the stated threshold of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against each threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Las Vegas versus New England game. You can view the historical price movement of these contracts, allowing you to analyze how predictions have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $124,382, and the total overall volume, which is $135,477. This provides insight into market activity and interest in this particular event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering different value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different numbers of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the probability that a specific number of passing touchdowns will be achieved, as determined by the traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Las Vegas versus New England game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the actual number of passing touchdowns will pay out $1.00. All other contracts will settle to $0.00. The platform will verify the outcome using publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact predictions. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market.