Will both teams score in every quarter?

Typically, prediction market odds, like those for this market, reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating new information as it becomes available, potentially leading to faster adjustments than sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (buy orders) and asks (sell orders), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buying a contract represents a belief that the event *will* happen – both teams scoring in every quarter – while selling represents a belief it *won’t*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective probability assessment, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood of the outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential game flow.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, following the completion of the Las Vegas versus New England game. The outcome will be determined by verifying whether both teams scored at least once in each of the four quarters of the game. This outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, such as official NFL game statistics and play-by-play data. The final market price will reflect whether the ‘Yes’ outcome occurred, and contracts will be settled accordingly.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, wide receivers, or defensive stars on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations about scoring potential. Even pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public polling data regarding expected game outcomes could influence trader sentiment and move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to the game could cause fluctuations in the price of this market.