TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting both the outcome of the first half and the final result of a football game between Las Vegas and New England. Each market specifies a particular combination of first-half and full-game results that must both occur for the prediction to be correct.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Las Vegas vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as stated. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a unique pairing of possible first-half and full-game outcomes, including wins for either team, ties, or specific team combinations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trading activity. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the game, and potentially identify advantageous betting opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official final score of the Las Vegas vs New England game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome (either Las Vegas winning or New England winning), and 0 for the losing outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all drive trading activity. Major announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.