TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:15 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Las Vegas Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Raiders". If the New England Patriots win, the market will resolve to "New England Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Las Vegas Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Raiders". If the New England Patriots win, the market will resolve to "New England Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates independent predictions. However, it’s important to note that initial odds on Opinion may differ from those found at sportsbooks, as they represent different perspectives on the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The volume of trading also influences price discovery, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the prevailing odds. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Raiders-Patriots game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome and their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Patriots would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major coaching changes, significant weather forecasts for the game location, or even substantial changes in public sentiment based on expert analysis could also move the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to influence trading activity on Opinion and, consequently, the market prices.