TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC?

Volume:
$81,853

Lexington SC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 12:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lexington SC

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,680
N/A
N/A
$24,581
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexington SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas Lights

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,921
N/A
N/A
$15,723
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,084
N/A
N/A
$12,209
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington SC scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Las Vegas Lights winning, Lexington SC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic regarding game cancellation. Kalshi's logic is flawed, potentially resolving positively even if the game doesn't occur.Hero tip: Favor Polymarket markets due to their clearer cancellation policy. Kalshi markets carry a higher risk of unexpected positive resolution if the game is canceled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome of the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "No". Source: https://www.uslchampionship.com/
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if Las Vegas Lights, Lexington SC, or a Tie occurs. This includes scenarios where the game is not played. This is illogical and creates a high risk of erroneous resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington SC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington SC professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Las Vegas Lights wins, the 'Las Vegas Lights' market resolves to Yes. If Lexington SC wins, the 'Lexington SC' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Las Vegas Lights vs. Lexington SC match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $81,853, with $68,554 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. While Polymarket and Kalshi may display differing probabilities, this dashboard provides a unified overview of expectations for the match result, helping you understand where the crowd stands.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market's prices reflect real-time information and can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The difference can also stem from varying levels of liquidity and market participants.