TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Las Palmas and Real Sociedad B. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Las Palmas wins, Real Sociedad B wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad B professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad match, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are determined solely by supply and demand among Kalshi users, and aren't influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the core order-matching mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Las Palmas or Real Sociedad would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the likely outcome of the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad match.