TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Las Palmas and Castellon. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will resolve based on whether Las Palmas wins, Castellon wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Las Palmas vs Castellon professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Las Palmas market occurs if Las Palmas wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Castellon market occurs if Castellon wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks, focusing solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information or varying interpretations of the same information. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the spread between the buy and sell price indicates the level of uncertainty surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Las Palmas vs Castellon match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details and claim their winnings once the process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, shifts in public sentiment, and even weather conditions on the day of the match can all contribute to price fluctuations. Increased trading volume leading up to the event is also a strong indicator of heightened interest and potential price volatility, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.