TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Thai League 1 soccer match between Lamphun Warriors and Bangkok Utd. The result will be determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Lamphun Warriors, Bangkok Utd, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Lamphun Warriors vs Bangkok Utd professional Thai League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Lamphun Warriors, a win for Bangkok Utd, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after standard playing time plus stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that outcome will occur. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market for the Lamphun Warriors versus Bangkok Utd game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Lamphun Warriors versus Bangkok Utd match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match results as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Kalshi could cause noticeable shifts in the odds. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market and capitalize on potential price fluctuations.