TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$102,639,054

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,186,899

483,972

Markets across

36,666

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Lakers vs. Thunder
kalshi
polymarket

Lakers vs. Thunder

Volume:
$8,994,425

Spread -9.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -9.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 9:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,477,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,156,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 233.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$516,585
N/A
N/A
$233,549
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 230.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291,056
N/A
N/A
$144,068
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 230.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 232.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$288,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 231.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 227.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119,683
N/A
N/A
$74,790
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 228.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 227.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 221.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,313
N/A
N/A
$22,928
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 233.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 212.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,979
N/A
N/A
$16,842
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 224.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,036
N/A
N/A
$13,804
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 218.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,605
N/A
N/A
$18,135
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 226.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 215.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,458
N/A
N/A
$14,605
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 229.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 120.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 118.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 59

Description

Lakers vs. Thunder is an NBA matchup scheduled for April 2 at 9:30 PM ET. The event group encompasses 23 distinct prediction markets spanning game outcome, spread, totals, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists). All markets reference the official NBA box score as the authoritative settlement source and include uniform contingency rules for postponement and cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on combined team points (total score) across 11 markets with thresholds ranging from 212.5 to 242.5 points, while Polymarket settles on game outcome (moneyline), point spread, over/under totals at different thresholds, player prop stats, and first-half markets. The two platforms are measuring entirely different settlement dimensions.Hero tip: Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group — they are not inverse or complementary. Kalshi's 11 markets all resolve YES/NO based solely on whether combined points exceed a specific threshold; Polymarket's markets resolve on winner, spread, multiple O/U thresholds, individual player performance, and halftime outcomes. A single game result will produce different resolution outcomes across the two platforms because they are betting on different things.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers 11 identical-structure markets, each resolving YES if combined Lakers + Thunder points exceed a single threshold (212.5, 215.5, 218.5, 221.5, 224.5, 227.5, 230.5, 233.5, 236.5, 239.5, or 242.5). All 11 markets reference the same game and resolution source (official NBA box score), but each has a different point threshold. Example: 'If the teams in the Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026 collectively score more than 221.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 41 distinct markets covering game outcome (moneyline), full-game and first-half spreads, multiple over/under thresholds (226.5, 227.5, 228.5, 229.5, 230.5, 231.5, 232.5, 233.5), individual player prop stats (points, rebounds, assists for 11 different players), and first-half moneyline. Example moneyline: 'If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers. If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to Thunder.' Example O/U: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Lakers and Thunder combine to score 229 or more points.' Example player prop: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores more than 30.5 points.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.