TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lakers vs. Thunder
Volume:
$8,994,425
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Lakers vs. Thunder is an NBA matchup scheduled for April 2 at 9:30 PM ET. The event group encompasses 23 distinct prediction markets spanning game outcome, spread, totals, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists). All markets reference the official NBA box score as the authoritative settlement source and include uniform contingency rules for postponement and cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on combined team points (total score) across 11 markets with thresholds ranging from 212.5 to 242.5 points, while Polymarket settles on game outcome (moneyline), point spread, over/under totals at different thresholds, player prop stats, and first-half markets. The two platforms are measuring entirely different settlement dimensions.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group — they are not inverse or complementary. Kalshi's 11 markets all resolve YES/NO based solely on whether combined points exceed a specific threshold; Polymarket's markets resolve on winner, spread, multiple O/U thresholds, individual player performance, and halftime outcomes. A single game result will produce different resolution outcomes across the two platforms because they are betting on different things.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers 11 identical-structure markets, each resolving YES if combined Lakers + Thunder points exceed a single threshold (212.5, 215.5, 218.5, 221.5, 224.5, 227.5, 230.5, 233.5, 236.5, 239.5, or 242.5). All 11 markets reference the same game and resolution source (official NBA box score), but each has a different point threshold. Example: 'If the teams in the Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026 collectively score more than 221.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 41 distinct markets covering game outcome (moneyline), full-game and first-half spreads, multiple over/under thresholds (226.5, 227.5, 228.5, 229.5, 230.5, 231.5, 232.5, 233.5), individual player prop stats (points, rebounds, assists for 11 different players), and first-half moneyline. Example moneyline: 'If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers. If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to Thunder.' Example O/U: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Lakers and Thunder combine to score 229 or more points.' Example player prop: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores more than 30.5 points.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.