TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.1b

24H VOL:

$140,881,811

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,525,689,812

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,593,041,412

479,659

Markets across

37,354

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,909

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lakers vs. Nuggets
kalshi
polymarket

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Volume:
$14,215,664

Spread -4.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -4.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,056,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$349,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,985,233
N/A
N/A
$2,247,831
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lakers vs. Nuggets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,152,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,238,617
N/A
N/A
$4,172,851
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 240.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$784,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 239.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 241.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 237.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 238.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This event group covers the NBA game between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads, over/under totals, individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives. The group includes 84 distinct markets across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box score, overtime inclusion, 50-50 on cancellation, and consistent edge case handling across moneyline, spread, totals, and player props.Primary resolution logic: Official NBA box score published on NBA.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline (full game): Lakers win resolves to Lakers; Nuggets win resolves to Nuggets
  • Spread markets (full game): Nuggets -5.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 6+; Nuggets -4.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 5+; Nuggets -3.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 4+; otherwise Lakers wins
  • Over/Under totals: Combined team score compared to threshold (237.5, 238.5, 239.5, 240.5, 241.5); Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1
  • Player props (points/rebounds/assists): Over if player stat exceeds threshold; No if player scores at or below threshold or is inactive
  • First-half markets: Determined by halftime score only; moneyline and spread follow same logic as full game; O/U 123.5 and 124.5 use halftime combined totals
  • Ties at halftime: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spread resolves to Lakers
  • Game postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
  • Complete cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied final score: Full-game moneyline and spread markets resolve to Lakers. First-half moneyline resolves 50-50.
  • Player inactive or does not play: All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve to No.
  • Game postponed: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date.
  • Game canceled with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50.
  • Overtime periods: All statistics and scores include overtime; markets resolve based on final score after all overtime periods.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. All resolutions use official NBA.com box score publication as the authoritative source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.