TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lakers vs. Nuggets
Volume:
$14,215,664
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads, over/under totals, individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives. The group includes 84 distinct markets across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box score, overtime inclusion, 50-50 on cancellation, and consistent edge case handling across moneyline, spread, totals, and player props.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline (full game): Lakers win resolves to Lakers; Nuggets win resolves to Nuggets
- Spread markets (full game): Nuggets -5.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 6+; Nuggets -4.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 5+; Nuggets -3.5 resolves Nuggets if they win by 4+; otherwise Lakers wins
- Over/Under totals: Combined team score compared to threshold (237.5, 238.5, 239.5, 240.5, 241.5); Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1
- Player props (points/rebounds/assists): Over if player stat exceeds threshold; No if player scores at or below threshold or is inactive
- First-half markets: Determined by halftime score only; moneyline and spread follow same logic as full game; O/U 123.5 and 124.5 use halftime combined totals
- Ties at halftime: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spread resolves to Lakers
- Game postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
- Complete cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tied final score: Full-game moneyline and spread markets resolve to Lakers. First-half moneyline resolves 50-50.
- Player inactive or does not play: All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve to No.
- Game postponed: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date.
- Game canceled with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50.
- Overtime periods: All statistics and scores include overtime; markets resolve based on final score after all overtime periods.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. All resolutions use official NBA.com box score publication as the authoritative source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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