TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$102,639,054

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,186,899

483,972

Markets across

36,666

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Lakers vs. Magic
kalshi
polymarket

Lakers vs. Magic

Volume:
$18,121,683

Los Angeles L

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,883,268
N/A
N/A
$4,830,132
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lakers vs. Magic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,257,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 118.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 119.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orlando

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,491,188
N/A
N/A
$1,360,637
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 232.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$380,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 233.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 234.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 231.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction that makes it fundamentally unresolvable, while Polymarket provides coherent, standard NBA game resolution rules. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if either Orlando wins OR Los Angeles wins, which means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, violating basic binary market logic.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi's Lakers vs. Magic market (ID: Kalshi items 1-2). The resolution rule is contradictory—it resolves YES whether the Lakers win or the Magic win, making it impossible to lose. This is a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard NBA resolution logic with clear win/loss conditions, spread thresholds, and over/under totals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Orlando wins the Los Angeles L at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome (either team wins), making it unresolvable as a binary market.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution: Provides 26 coherent markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution conditions. The moneyline resolves to 'Lakers' if Lakers win or 'Magic' if Magic win. Spreads, over/unders, player props, and first-half markets all follow standard NBA box score resolution from NBA.com with explicit thresholds and tie-breaking rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.