TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lakers vs. Magic
Volume:
$18,121,683
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction that makes it fundamentally unresolvable, while Polymarket provides coherent, standard NBA game resolution rules. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if either Orlando wins OR Los Angeles wins, which means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, violating basic binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's Lakers vs. Magic market (ID: Kalshi items 1-2). The resolution rule is contradictory—it resolves YES whether the Lakers win or the Magic win, making it impossible to lose. This is a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard NBA resolution logic with clear win/loss conditions, spread thresholds, and over/under totals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Orlando wins the Los Angeles L at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome (either team wins), making it unresolvable as a binary market.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution: Provides 26 coherent markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution conditions. The moneyline resolves to 'Lakers' if Lakers win or 'Magic' if Magic win. Spreads, over/unders, player props, and first-half markets all follow standard NBA box score resolution from NBA.com with explicit thresholds and tie-breaking rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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