TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Matisse Thybulle will have over or under 1.5 rebounds in the Lakers vs. Jazz NBA game. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 1.5. Resolution will be determined by game statistics reported on https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25 at 5:00PM ET, as the outcome of this market will be determined by the results of that fixture.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 5:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team's chances, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to interesting discrepancies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, effectively forecasting the likelihood of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lakers-Jazz game as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The market will then be settled, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Lakers or the Jazz would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about player matchups could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other NBA games, impacting team morale or playoff positioning, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market.