TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lafayette Leopards vs. Butler Bulldogs
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Lafayette Leopards vs Butler Bulldogs?

Total volume:
$29,613
Volume 24h:
$28,744
28,393%
Liquidity:
$8,160
493%
Open interest:
$27,210
3,545%

Butler

 - Kalshi

Butler - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 02h:35m:45s

Butler wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Butler

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$8,834
1,317%
2,093%
$8,590
2h 35m
Active
kalshi

Lafayette

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$19,135
2,472%
10,300%
$18,620
2h 35m
Active
polymarket

Lafayette Leopards vs. Butler Bulldogs

Trade
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99¢
1.9¢
$8,160
$1,644
1,295%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
predict

Lafayette Leopards vs. Butler Bulldogs

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 7¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the November 2nd, 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball game between the Lafayette Leopards and the Butler Bulldogs. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are illogical, resolving 'Yes' regardless of the winner, while Polymarket correctly resolves to the winning team.Hero tip: Trade on Polymarket for accurate resolution. Avoid Kalshi due to its flawed logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Lafayette Leopards' if Lafayette wins, or 'Butler Bulldogs' if Butler wins. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. "If the Lafayette Leopards win, the market will resolve to 'Lafayette Leopards'. If the Butler Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to 'Butler Bulldogs'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Butler or Lafayette wins. This is a flawed resolution condition. "If Butler wins the Lafayette vs Butler men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lafayette wins the Lafayette vs Butler men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Lafayette Leopards and Butler Bulldogs on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the game as scheduled on Nov 2, 2026. If postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Lafayette Leopards and Butler Bulldogs on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Lafayette vs. Butler game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $27,322, with $23,371 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Lafayette Leopards vs. Butler Bulldogs at 1.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Butler wins at 99.0%. This provides a consensus view, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants regarding the game's result.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily focus on statistical analysis and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information or unexpected developments. While sportsbooks may initially set the line, the ongoing trading in this market can reveal insights that aren't immediately apparent to bookmakers.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform varies; with Polymarket seeing a larger volume of $27,322, its prices might be more sensitive to new information. Different interpretations of available data and varying risk appetites among traders on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Lafayette vs. Butler game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the relevant governing body for college basketball, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 3, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Lafayette Leopards or the Butler Bulldogs would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or significant performance improvements in recent games could also influence trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.